Séminaire externe des doctorants Edem EGNIKPO
-
Le 26 mai 2026Campus Tertrefalse false
-
Salle des Actes, bâtiment Erdre,
de 14 h à 15 h.
Edem EGNIKPO
Doctorant à l'Université Aix-Marseille, Faculté d'économie et de gestion (FEG)
Edem nous présentera son article intitulé "Informality and Heterogeneous Growth Effects of Natural Disasters"
Résumé : There is consistent evidence that natural disasters generate greater and more persistent output losses in developing countries than in advanced economies. This paper shows that a key driver of this asymmetry is the size of the informal sector, wich is typically larger in developing countries. Using a smooth-transition local projection method on a panel of 149 countries, I find that highly informal economies experience deeper and longer-lived growth contractions following storm shocks, whereas less informal economies are more resilient and recover faster. These results are robust to alternative specifications, different informality measures, and a broad set of country characteristics. Ongoing work develops a two-sector DSGE framework to explore the mechanisms through wich informality may amplify disaster shocks.
Doctorant à l'Université Aix-Marseille, Faculté d'économie et de gestion (FEG)
Edem nous présentera son article intitulé "Informality and Heterogeneous Growth Effects of Natural Disasters"
Résumé : There is consistent evidence that natural disasters generate greater and more persistent output losses in developing countries than in advanced economies. This paper shows that a key driver of this asymmetry is the size of the informal sector, wich is typically larger in developing countries. Using a smooth-transition local projection method on a panel of 149 countries, I find that highly informal economies experience deeper and longer-lived growth contractions following storm shocks, whereas less informal economies are more resilient and recover faster. These results are robust to alternative specifications, different informality measures, and a broad set of country characteristics. Ongoing work develops a two-sector DSGE framework to explore the mechanisms through wich informality may amplify disaster shocks.
Mis à jour le 21 avril 2026.